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Update To The Update ‘Will The Bubble Pop’

Update To the Update ‘Will The Bubble Pop?’

-7/15/09-

 

          It’s been a year-and-a-half since the last update and maybe it’s time for another.  The capital gains rules, described in detail in the first paper, Will The Bubble Pop?, still apply, making real estate a much better, long term investment than before July 1, 1997. 

 

          At the end of January this year, Vermont the lowest foreclosure rate in the country at .04%.  See

http://www.vermontbiz.com/news/june/vermont-foreclosure-rate-still-lowest-us-activity-decreases-6-percent

 

          As mentioned our first original article, our banks are extremely conservative and don’t usually get caught up in trends like the bundling of mortgage backed securities and the subprime loan mess.  At an office meeting, none of us had done or even heard of any local no-income, no-documentation loans.  Vermont may be socially progressive but fiscally it is extremely conservative.

 

          Prices seem to have bottomed out.  Some of this may be because, as mentioned, there aren’t waves in ingress and egress by large business ventures.  Vermont is filled with small companies and many who are self employed.  And to repeat, most folks who relocate here, come for a lifestyle change first and foremost.  Making lots of money quickly is usually not on the list of reasons why to move to Vermont.

 

          A super hot segment seems to be the first home market where buyers are scurrying to take advantage of the up-to $8,000 tax incentive offered through the federal government.  See http://www.irs.gov/newsroom/article/0,,id=204671,00.html for a description.  To apply, one must purchase before December 1, 2009 so it only makes sense this market is hot.

 

          That said we’re moving properties in all price ranges and a number of businesses, too.  Vermont continues to be a pretty special place to live or vacation or both.

 

          And like the last update three factors still exist.  There are more properties on the market for buyer choice.  Sellers are willing to negotiate.  And interest rates are still historically very low.  Some economists worry about inflation but if someone locks into a fixed rate mortgage, that can work to their advantage.

 

          IRS and tax laws continue to evolve so working with a tax consultant, accountant, lawyer or financial planner becomes necessary particularly when buying and selling.

         

          Please don’t hesitate to call or email us with questions about Vermont real estate, market conditions or what it’s like to live here.